Polymarket Trader

ceeper

0x5d6d83f9148ccc91956880a0ce95d71d84250510

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.71K
Realized PnL: $971.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $238.55
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $53.61
Potential payout: $844.29
Potential profit: $790.67
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$17.18

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $165
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.62
Potential profit: $161.62
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $60.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $89.25
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $132.2
Potential payout: $138.43
Potential profit: $6.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $7.33
Potential payout: $99.75
Potential profit: $92.42
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$3.84

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $81.95
Potential payout: $91.57
Potential profit: $9.61
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $31.95

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$15.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$5.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.77

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.69

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $101.41

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.65

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.45

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.07

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $47.18

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $35.21

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.63

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $31.39

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.67

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.9

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.98

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $13.94

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $13.33

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.69

No position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 25.1% 89.15 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 93% 278.85 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83% 1,445.78 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

No 99.9% 209.42 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 71.4% 400 shares
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 37.3% 100 shares
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 69% 20 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 98.9% 300 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 98.8% 50 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 4,444.44 shares
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Yes 95.5% 10.63 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.3% 200 shares