No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $110.53
- Potential payout
- $150.39
- Potential profit
- $39.85
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $10.53
Polymarket Trader
lrwilke
0x5d733b77a1601171c11772e52db168f59c27037f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.53
- Realized PnL
- -$8.75
- Win rate
- 61.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.56
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
No position
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
Negative position
Ethereum ETF Flows on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.36
Yes position
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.76
No position
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Germany confidence vote in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?No 66.5% 150.39 shares
- Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 22?Yes 86.4% 23.14 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes 63% 31.75 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 84% 23.81 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes 9% 222.22 shares
- Ethereum ETF Flows on October 17?Negative 69.7% 14.36 shares
- Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No 89% 37.19 shares
- Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No 53.8% 37.2 shares
- Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No 93% 35 shares
- U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?No 85% 47.07 shares
- Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No 94.3% 106.04 shares
- Iran Nuke in 2025?No 85% 47.06 shares