Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Polymarket Trader
Nelsonmandela
0x5d73a03a16cb59b0606e7eaf6a455dfca815bed9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $296.81
- Realized PnL
- $43.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Munyagwa Mubarak Sserunga win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $296.81
- Potential payout
- $301.49
- Potential profit
- $4.67
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.7% 10.63 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.5% 44.82 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.5% 246.03 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.8% 297.99 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.7% 297.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No 99.7% 260.28 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.5% 10.75 shares
- Will Solana dip to $60 in May?No 99.8% 1.5 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.6% 1.1 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.8% 262.02 shares
- Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 98.5% 261.83 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?No 99.7% 1.1 shares