notabot10

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.71
Potential profit: $142.71
User PnL: -$9.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.1
Potential profit: $140.1
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.84
Potential profit: $133.84
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.01
Potential profit: $129.01
User PnL: -$2.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $116
User PnL: -$59.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $114
User PnL: -$3.42

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.96
Potential profit: $110.96
User PnL: -$19.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $107.53
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.36
Potential profit: $99.36
User PnL: -$19.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.51
Potential profit: $96.51
User PnL: -$49.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.25
Potential profit: $95.25
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $751.35

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $735.41

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.55

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $507.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.38

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.97

Lakers position

76ers vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.19

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.45

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.72

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.12

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.99

Volkanovski position

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET