Polymarket Trader

0x5D7F92f013e3E278595f0eC8ecf7BFc27A099dC1-1776462509871

0x5d7f92f013e3e278595f0ec8ecf7bfc27a099dc1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.19
Realized PnL: $31.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $230.77
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.97
Potential profit: $36.97
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Belgium position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.35
Potential profit: $18.35
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $6.98
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $5.28
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96

Finland position

World Championships: Canada vs. Finland

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

No 26% 11.54 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Belgium 27.2% 18.35 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

LGD Gaming 14.9% 13.42 shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

LGD Gaming 14.9% 10.07 shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

LGD Gaming 14.8% 13.48 shares
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

LGD Gaming 36% 8.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 97.3% 25.65 shares
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland

Finland 41% 12.2 shares
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes 29% 6.9 shares
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 61% 3.28 shares