0x5dAEcE833c714749C3314412824bE229D2720590-1779245905421

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.19
Potential profit: $19.19
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $8.69
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $9.17
Potential payout: $9.6
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $7.84
Potential profit: $6.55
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $7.74
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37
Potential profit: $7.37
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.65
Potential profit: $6.65
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $6.12
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $5.69
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $5.57
Potential profit: $3.31
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $5.47
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $5.34
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $2.62
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.3%
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 34.6%
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?