No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $48.05
- Potential payout
- $52.51
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.05
Polymarket Trader
Soothsayer1000
0x5dbe63a9d1adffeb5b8c188bdccf3317db51034b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98
- Realized PnL
- $141.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $20.53
- Potential payout
- $20.94
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.23
- Potential payout
- $11.3
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $8.39
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $5.46
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
No position
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
No position
Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 94% 6.41 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 90% 11.11 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 88% 5.68 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.3% 5.3 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 78% 6.41 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 94.3% 5.3 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.5% 5.46 shares
- Will US annex any territory in 2026?No 89% 5.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.9% 6.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 82% 6.1 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 94.2% 11.76 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No 94.9% 5.27 shares