Polymarket Trader

TheHoundofCullen

0x5dc088af27319a06faea9ee595e2ad1ba7e4fa40

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.35
Realized PnL: -$3.76
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $13.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $236.63
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.94
Potential profit: $138.94
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $4.44
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $40
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.68
Potential profit: $32.68
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $18.53
Multiplier: 4.71x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $16.17
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $5.83
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $3.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.3
Potential profit: $21.3
User PnL: -$11.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $12.93
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.06
Potential profit: $14.06
User PnL: -$9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $9.68
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Tele-Rallies?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 9% 44.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 47% 4.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 5.6% 32 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 25.5% 23.53 shares
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 6.8% 14.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 138.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Down 80% 7.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Down 64% 14.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 16% 32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 25% 20 shares