Polymarket Trader

Rebelliousuncle

0x5dc28ececeeefec730d013ed0363040c67223ec1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $116.46
Realized PnL: $260.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $494.05
Potential profit: $494.05
User PnL: -$6

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $102.19
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $44.87
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $2.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.3
Potential profit: $79.3
User PnL: -$19.82

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.35
Potential profit: $50.35
User PnL: -$22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.2
Potential profit: $43.2
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.51
Potential profit: $42.51
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $14.26
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $23.47
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$5.74

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.97
Potential profit: $29.97
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.88
Potential profit: $26.88
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.17
Potential profit: $24.17
User PnL: -$10.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.96
Potential profit: $16.96
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.78
Potential profit: $16.78
User PnL: -$2

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27
Potential profit: $14.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.3
Potential profit: $13.3
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.73
Potential profit: $12.73
User PnL: -$9.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.09
Potential profit: $12.09
User PnL: -$9.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.94
Potential profit: $11.94
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.45
Potential profit: $11.45
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.25

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.03

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $19.21

Yes position

Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

No position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 2.6% 28.9 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 67% 14.93 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 34.6% 28.9 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Yes 90% 2.89 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 94% 1.61 shares
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 68% 147.06 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 45% 1.4 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 99.2% 59.7 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.3% 29.85 shares
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Yes 92% 101.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?

No 82% 12.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17?

Yes 55% 8.89 shares