Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $7.15
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$114.56
Polymarket Trader
F4CK
0x5de72afd53f4860470ee0f4a11bf0eabddb1540c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.96K
- Realized PnL
- $4.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $963.82
- Potential payout
- $965.27
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- User PnL
- $34.68
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $899.97
- Potential profit
- $894.12
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$172.74
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $820
- Potential profit
- $819.59
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$45.54
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $123.95
- Potential payout
- $751.19
- Potential profit
- $627.24
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$219.14
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $35.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $564.9
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $566.44
- Potential profit
- $566.16
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.79
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $167.51
- Potential payout
- $500.02
- Potential profit
- $332.51
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $64.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $435.75
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $58.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $441.25
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $33.07
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $416.93
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$15.98
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $206.61
- Potential payout
- $356.23
- Potential profit
- $149.62
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $30.61
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $214.51
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $55.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $244.65
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $17.85
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $109.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $190.5
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $133.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $166.5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $40.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $259.05
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.05
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $85.39
- Potential payout
- $299.71
- Potential profit
- $214.32
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$21.15
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $265.14
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $90.95
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $120.38
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $104.63
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $177.45
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $32.55
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $52.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $93
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $107
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.1
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$32.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.52
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.02
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $329.9
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.41
No position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $227.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $213.57
Yes position
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.63
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.73
Yes position
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.48
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.32
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.08
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.74
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.7
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.4
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.5
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.65
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.09
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.45
Yes position
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.3
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Yes 98.7% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 12.1% 50 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11% 25.51 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99% 340 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 54.9% 60 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 60% 50 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 31.2% 50 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 69% 100 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z 50% 30 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming 97% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 37% 100 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 20 shares