No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $109.55
- Potential payout
- $134.01
- Potential profit
- $24.46
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Polymarket Trader
0x5e0f...ee44
0x5e0f9bc78f273ce3c61881d5ab679a4b9171ee44
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $260.32
- Realized PnL
- $13.29
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $60.7
- Potential payout
- $102.02
- Potential profit
- $41.32
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $4.59
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $19.78
- Potential payout
- $92.02
- Potential profit
- $72.24
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.3%
- Current value
- $29.28
- Potential payout
- $39.43
- Potential profit
- $10.15
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $19.27
- Potential payout
- $19.79
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $17.95
- Potential profit
- $17.75
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $12.48
- Potential payout
- $12.93
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $12.3
- Potential profit
- $11.69
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $6.78
- Potential payout
- $11.39
- Potential profit
- $4.61
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $2.97
- Potential profit
- $1.29
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.1% 99.2 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 79.3% 15.11 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 76.6% 12.49 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 34.1% 14.22 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36.6% 67.22 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 4.8% 59.26 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 96.6% 41.8 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 88% 12.53 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 44.3% 60.85 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 74% 50.68 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 63.6% 24.4 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 83% 40.7 shares