Polymarket Trader

Guillet

0x5e1b4ce9721f2cd27746d299a49022783acae63c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.23
Realized PnL: $30.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $12.21
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.03
Potential payout: $8.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $7.13
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $5.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $5.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4.07
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $4.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $3.28
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

No position

Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will George Russell win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Russian strike on Poland by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Russia announces air truce by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Trump say "King" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Trump out as President by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.2% 1.02 shares
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.2% 1.02 shares
Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.4% 3.05 shares
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.2% 1.02 shares
Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.4% 1.02 shares
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.2% 4.07 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 98.9% 5.06 shares
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.5% 4.06 shares
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 96.7% 1.03 shares
Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 99.2% 1.01 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 1.02 shares
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.4% 1.02 shares