Polymarket Trader

Mold-Spore

0x5e30f433ca5ed19cc926c3b30ff8ba8fcb5a1ebd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.08K
Realized PnL: $28.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.19K
Potential profit: $269.19K
User PnL: -$3.4K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $902.63
Potential payout: $200.58K
Potential profit: $199.68K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $180.7K
Potential profit: $179.53K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.41K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.94K
Potential profit: $70.94K
User PnL: -$451.19

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.36K
Potential profit: $61.36K
User PnL: -$822.76

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.22K
Potential profit: $50.22K
User PnL: -$2.71K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.87K
Potential profit: $33.87K
User PnL: -$64.15

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.27K
Potential profit: $32.27K
User PnL: -$161.34

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.33K
Potential profit: $20.33K
User PnL: -$99.17

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.04K
Potential profit: $20.04K
User PnL: -$575.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.27K
Potential profit: $11.27K
User PnL: -$62.27

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.77K
Potential profit: $6.77K
User PnL: -$195.82

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.61K
Potential profit: $6.61K
User PnL: -$46.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.52K
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$195.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$257.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4AM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $643.3
Potential profit: $643.3
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $484
User PnL: -$24.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $448.46
Potential profit: $448.46
User PnL: -$34.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.91
Potential profit: $428.91
User PnL: -$127.31

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.96
Potential profit: $318.96
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.47
Potential profit: $298.47
User PnL: -$65.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.2
Potential profit: $232.2
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.03K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.43K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.45

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.28

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.11

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.8

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.62

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.09

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.7% 13,385.71 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Yes 0.5% 3,010.26 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.7% 9,801.43 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Yes 0.6% 6,745.01 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.7% 11,857.14 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Yes 0.6% 835.37 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Yes 0.6% 1,686.83 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.7% 9,474.29 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Yes 0.5% 2,189.78 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 1.9% 4,024 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.7% 12,241.43 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Yes 0.4% 12,995.98 shares