No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $6.96K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $424.64
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $873.59
Polymarket Trader
GonTanaka2
0x5e67fa734467c5811f99abf45acbe8ae430377ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.6K
- Realized PnL
- $5.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $548.21
- Potential payout
- $681
- Potential profit
- $132.79
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$12.13
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $594.78
- Potential payout
- $643
- Potential profit
- $48.23
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $32.69
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $571.34
- Potential payout
- $616
- Potential profit
- $44.66
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.53
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $207.75
- Potential payout
- $279.98
- Potential profit
- $72.24
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $143.22
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $256.48
- Potential payout
- $264
- Potential profit
- $7.52
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15.64
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $199.55
- Potential payout
- $238.99
- Potential profit
- $39.43
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $89.24
No position
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $110.5
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $72.82
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $7.61
Yes position
Elon Bull Run Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $61.13
- Potential profit
- $53.58
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $43.87
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $20.84
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $19.47
- Potential profit
- $16.26
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Thank you" or "Please" 13+ times during the medal presentation on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.1
No position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.03
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 28?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.2
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.82
Yes position
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $310.13
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.45
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222
Yes position
Sherrone Moore charged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.27
No position
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.97
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.48
No position
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.84
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.85
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.92
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 3, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.6
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.1
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.95
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $53.54
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.42
Yes position
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.12
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $44.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No 94.9% 110 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 82% 37 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 75.6% 40 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 35 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.5% 33 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 93% 33 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 82% 37 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92% 153 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 82% 160 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 37 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 90% 17 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 147 shares