Polymarket Trader

Bugblatter

0x5e6ae8d760e0f9e5e2845d9926c30bf21583ae46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $208.27
Realized PnL: $811.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $114.51
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $502.78
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $14.51

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $93.76
Potential payout: $125.01
Potential profit: $31.25
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$6.24

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $109.89
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.47
Potential profit: $75.47
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.57
Potential profit: $65.57
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$50

Emma Raducanu position

HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$30

Marta Kostyuk position

Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$30

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.85
Potential profit: $30.85
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.37
Potential profit: $25.37
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.3

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.94

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.85

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.49

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.57

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.44

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.56

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.11

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.61

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $32.2

Yes position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.34

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.4

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.27

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.05

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.73

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.11

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.17

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.06

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.68

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.49

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.49

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

No 46.8% 42.74 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 90.4% 136.99 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 52% 76.92 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 61% 65.57 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 99.9% 75.75 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 66% 75.76 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 62% 32.26 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 73.53 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 68% 145.58 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 91.4% 109.41 shares
Starmer out by June 24, 2026?

Yes 87% 114.94 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 23% 46.87 shares