No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$232.99
Polymarket Trader
gullytrader
0x5e6b8a6b2a103e6f5dec43552471dbcbfaec574d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.6K
- Realized PnL
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $69.36
- Potential payout
- $366.02
- Potential profit
- $296.66
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.41
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.4
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.12
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.02
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.45
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.8
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.12
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$106
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$466.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 56 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 73% 6.9 shares
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes 94.7% 630 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 91% 99.16 shares