Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $14.35
- Potential payout
- $28.7K
- Potential profit
- $28.69K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.35
Polymarket Trader
Newshound
0x5e73afb20c2b27caccdaad9e49b97fd336576697
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.83K
- Realized PnL
- $46.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $5.55K
- Potential payout
- $8.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $7.16K
- Potential payout
- $7.98K
- Potential profit
- $821.59
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $615.04
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94K
- Potential profit
- $7.94K
- User PnL
- -$79.38
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $7.41K
- Potential profit
- $5.38K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$896.01
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.5K
- User PnL
- -$748.31
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $3.58K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
No position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$225.71
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- User PnL
- -$43.38
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $525.12
- Potential payout
- $3.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- $362.55
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- User PnL
- -$305.82
No position
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- User PnL
- -$230.24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- User PnL
- -$195.25
No position
Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- User PnL
- -$24.22
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$459.77
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$870.63
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$351.06
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $406.66
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$76.94
Yes position
US national Solana reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$318.44
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$317.63
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$661.82
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$509.59
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $883.93
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $81.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79K
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.28K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 57% 1,787.19 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 56.1% 4,478.83 shares
- Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?Yes 87.5% 175.35 shares
- Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?Yes 96% 110.78 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 8% 1,143.42 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 18.4% 1,308.42 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Yes 0.1% 28,702.08 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 76.9% 3,264.03 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 84.1% 104.9 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 83.5% 1,209.89 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 80% 1,197.94 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 93% 1,090.12 shares