Polymarket Trader

pm-hk

0x5e7dfdd0ad23093ea97307eee9b61cfbcbb7ca41

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $174.48
Realized PnL: $528.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $138.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $61.02
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$23.02

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $35.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.2

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.09

Yes position

Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.8

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

No position

Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.7%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $27.88

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Multiplier: 5.76x
User PnL: $25.91

No position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.04

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.02

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $21.65

No position

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

No position

Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.33

No position

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

No position

Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58

No position

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

No position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.33

Yes position

Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 78.1% 600 shares
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 64% 14.7 shares
Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.9% 300 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.6% 3,247.14 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 82% 50 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.2% 3,500 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 64.3% 3,500 shares
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

Yes 51% 50 shares
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 64.3% 152.13 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 76% 425.02 shares
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

Yes 68% 66.53 shares
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

No 58% 149.99 shares