Polymarket Trader

Clock

0x5e8df278c91da6b0d2e5ce4c62d134529b8db781

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.09K
Realized PnL: $1.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $4.9K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $97.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $107.5

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.13
Potential profit: $254.13
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $187.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$39.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.34

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.82

Yes position

Will Berachain's FDV be $3-5b 1 day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.37

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

No position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.37

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

Ethereum all time high by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.5

Yes position

Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.69

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.2

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 88% 200 shares
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

No 99.2% 500 shares
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?

No 95.9% 60 shares
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 68% 100 shares
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?

No 95.2% 200 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?

Yes 86% 100 shares
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?

No 94.5% 200 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

No 96.4% 200 shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 55% 200 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 80% 200 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 93% 200 shares
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

No 96.9% 100 shares