Polymarket Trader

MC2784

0x5e8f18dc0e9428d7a218063b462bec735cda3179

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.82K
Realized PnL: $2.45K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $193.75
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$6.25

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$701

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $36.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $935.24

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $766.78
Potential profit: $766.78
User PnL: -$141

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $675.68
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$40

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $645.16
Potential profit: $645.16
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $14.52
Potential payout: $645.16
Potential profit: $630.65
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$185.48

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $384.78
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $20.48
Potential payout: $359.24
Potential profit: $338.77
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $109.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $190.5
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$30

New York Mets position

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.57
Potential profit: $266.57
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $658.94

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.45

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.62

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.84

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.16

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $122.86

Avalanche position

Wild vs. Avalanche

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.35

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.63

Yes position

Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Ben Shelton position

BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56

Sophie Greiner position

ITF Focsani: Sophie Greiner vs Alexia Ioana Tatu

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.03

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.73

Over 2.5 position

Sara Sorribes Tormo vs. Tamara Korpatsch: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.25

Tamara Korpatsch position

Madrid Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatsch

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets 16% 125 shares
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets 14.1% 141.57 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 39% 130.77 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 28% 357.14 shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox 11% 100 shares
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Yes 12% 175 shares
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Yes 12% 49.01 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 21% 238.1 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 6% 500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 6% 166.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 9% 111.11 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 15.5% 645.16 shares