No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $3.87K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $134.07
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $60.73
Polymarket Trader
ArbitrageTaker
0x5e925066d60a57ebce9291a86acaef92b6db618a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.52K
- Realized PnL
- $1.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $8.99
- User PnL
- $68.12
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- $74.07
No position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $958.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $775.86
- Potential payout
- $838.77
- Potential profit
- $62.91
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.64
No position
Will Trump resign before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $770.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $29.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $34.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $628.35
- Potential payout
- $710
- Potential profit
- $81.65
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $59.65
No position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $694.05
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $610.35
- Potential payout
- $622.49
- Potential profit
- $12.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $37.66
No position
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $544.53
- Potential payout
- $608.41
- Potential profit
- $63.88
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $18.37
No position
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $597.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- User PnL
- $33.9
Yes position
Will Tromsø win Norway Eliteserien?
Ends Dec 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $547.05
- Potential profit
- $545.41
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$81.71
No position
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $486.41
- Potential payout
- $521.06
- Potential profit
- $34.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $59.17
Yes position
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?
Ends Dec 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $180.46
- Potential payout
- $501.28
- Potential profit
- $320.82
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $5.01
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $465
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $445
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $496.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- User PnL
- $14.25
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $448.77
- Potential payout
- $452.62
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- $9.78
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $399.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $362
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $374.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $25.8
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $14.2
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $362.01
- Potential payout
- $380.06
- Potential profit
- $18.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $12.35
No position
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $305.46
- Potential payout
- $313.29
- Potential profit
- $7.83
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.14
Yes position
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?
Ends Dec 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $93.28
- Potential payout
- $305.82
- Potential profit
- $212.55
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $12.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.7
No position
US civil war before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.65
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.66
No position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.7
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.68
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.24
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.72
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.52
No position
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.35
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.53
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.05
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.61
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.2
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $44.81
No position
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.84
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.47
No position
NATO article 5 before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will Marco Rubio visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.64
No position
Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.9
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.6
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Was 9/11 an inside job?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?No 91% 20 shares
- Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?No 90% 11.68 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No 91% 500 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 95% 94.84 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 98.8% 600 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 95.3% 443.24 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 94.9% 45 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 95.8% 5.99 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 95.8% 5.5 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 95.8% 5 shares
- Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?No 77% 212.6 shares
- Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?No 70% 20.83 shares