Polymarket Trader

0x5E9B0432E4c90777c50e10660f8D6068284B1e50-1720122014571

0x5e9b0432e4c90777c50e10660f8d6068284b1e50

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $174.62
Realized PnL: $446.74
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $61.8
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$43.2

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $12.35
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$7.65

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $193.64
Potential profit: $170.89
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.14
Potential profit: $152.14
User PnL: -$20

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $50.33
Potential payout: $139.82
Potential profit: $89.48
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$87

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $27.38
Potential payout: $75.01
Potential profit: $47.63
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.32
Potential profit: $40.32
User PnL: -$15.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.9

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.12

Yes position

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.41

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.53

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.31

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.88

No position

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.65

Yes position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.21

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

2024 July hottest on record?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

No position

Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Obama endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Multiplier: 7.87x
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $1.05

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.3%
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 1.7% 1,176.47 shares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 10.3% 193.64 shares
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 9.1% 1,100.92 shares
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Yes 35.8% 139.82 shares
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 21.73 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Yes 33.3% 75.01 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 63% 158.73 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 46% 21.74 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 4.9% 233.7 shares
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Yes 5.3% 208.33 shares