ubiwajem

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $340.27
Potential profit: $340.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$30.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $340.27
Potential profit: $339.76
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$30.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $340.27
Potential profit: $339.93
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$30.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $340.27
Potential profit: $339.76
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$30.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $320.27
Potential profit: $320.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$28.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $320.27
Potential profit: $320.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$28.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $230.27
Potential profit: $230.04
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$20.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $168.23
Potential profit: $167.81
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $168.23
Potential profit: $167.98
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $168.23
Potential profit: $167.64
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$14.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $148.23
Potential profit: $147.79
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$13.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $138.23
Potential profit: $137.12
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$11.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $130.28
Potential profit: $130.15
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$11.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $126.78
Potential profit: $126.65
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$11.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 98°F or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $126.78
Potential profit: $126.65
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$11.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $126.78
Potential profit: $126.59
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$11.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $117.78
Potential profit: $117.6
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $117.78
Potential profit: $117.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $117.78
Potential profit: $117.66
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$10.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $117.78
Potential profit: $117.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $107.98
Potential profit: $107.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $107.98
Potential profit: $107.65
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $107.98
Potential profit: $107.82
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $107.98
Potential profit: $107.87
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$9.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 5?