Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $11.83
- Potential profit
- $10.24
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Polymarket Trader
0x5eb5...c945
0x5eb5017b7d67477140e6cfedf3dc7fff6351c945
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $48.24
- Realized PnL
- $31.73
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $8.71
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.72
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $7.87
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 21% 6 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 58% 8.14 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 40% 8.13 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No 63% 7.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 42.4% 8.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 48% 9.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 73.2% 6.57 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 36% 7.5 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?No 33% 7 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 6 2026?No 72% 6.08 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 49% 9 shares