Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.58K
- Potential profit
- $273.58K
- User PnL
- -$46.88K
Polymarket Trader
Vivaldi007
0x5ed3561e39d6c9a9622c6f84a782537df7f9b19e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $605.18K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.22K
- Potential profit
- $17.22K
- User PnL
- -$9.76K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 9-15?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560
- Potential profit
- $560
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.93K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.33K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.92K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.09
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.4
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$249.91
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$443.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.85K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.96K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.19K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.85K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.88K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.92K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.97K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 57.3% 530 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 55.9% 4,799.84 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 12.7% 1,000 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 55.7% 52.5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 15.9% 7,368.34 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 15.7% 8,196.95 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 16.4% 20,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 15.5% 4,419.88 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 99.8% 209,988.54 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.1% 219,988.54 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.2% 209,988.54 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 16.2% 657.8 shares