Yes position
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Doomz
0x5eda0d6cb641a76098e5cb3c9c76e57f3ecd92a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.98K
- Realized PnL
- $7.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.71K
- Potential profit
- $7.71K
- User PnL
- -$104.79
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- User PnL
- -$132.95
Yes position
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$37.38
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $200
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$70.1
Yes position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $237.73
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- $17.87
Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$14.24
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $416
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $884
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$106
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$326.63
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
FDA approves Vepdegestrant?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $694.75
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.55
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611
- Potential profit
- $611
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $117
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $482.99
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$27
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $569.32
- Potential payout
- $570.18
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- User PnL
- $9.75
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $509.58
- Potential payout
- $559.98
- Potential profit
- $50.4
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $372.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $127.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $39.75
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $460.24
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- -$14.35
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $379.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $20.2
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $958.31
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.73
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.51
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.11
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.09
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.59
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.65
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.63
Y
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.81
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.98
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.01
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.94
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.68
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.29
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.24
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $72.34
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.98
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.17
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.3% 4,939.33 shares
- Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.3% 5,060.67 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 15.6% 190.74 shares
- Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 2.1% 30.3 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 77% 500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 59% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 59% 200 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 100 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 84% 20.1 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 84% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 400 shares