No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.53K
- Potential profit
- $17.53K
- User PnL
- -$1.27K
Polymarket Trader
big0500
0x5ef098e98985f031d8f7713345c55980a68d1409
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.14K
- Realized PnL
- $7.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.43K
- Potential profit
- $16.43K
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $5.14K
- Potential payout
- $5.73K
- Potential profit
- $593.38
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$90.26
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.97
- Potential profit
- $144.97
- User PnL
- -$82.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.31
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.07
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.61
No position
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 86.7% 1,153.4 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 95% 1,526.26 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.7% 94.45 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.9% 176.78 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 85% 588.22 shares
- Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No 98% 1,989.8 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 87.7% 114.05 shares
- Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 94% 74.47 shares
- Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 89% 898.88 shares
- Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 88% 25.75 shares
- Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 87% 2.3 shares
- Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 87% 37.93 shares