No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $609.04
- Potential payout
- $636.4
- Potential profit
- $27.37
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Polymarket Trader
0x5F107D904EeC35c7e14B01bF438892405A7a9D99-1773125245147
0x5f107d904eec35c7e14b01bf438892405a7a9d99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $766.08
- Realized PnL
- $448.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $336.55
- Potential profit
- $336.38
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $100.44
- Potential payout
- $109.17
- Potential profit
- $8.73
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $7.76
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $9.48
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $10.25
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $10.18
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $5.22
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $3.24
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $3.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.25
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Kings position
Jazz vs. Kings
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
76ers position
Grizzlies vs. 76ers
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.35
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Ivory position
Dota 2: Satan666 vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 1?No 39% 1.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 1?No 39% 17.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 1?Yes 50.2% 29.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 1?No 43% 1.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?Yes 41.9% 400 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 1?Yes 42% 78.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 1?Yes 58% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 1?Yes 43% 2.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?Yes 46% 26.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?Yes 49% 91.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?No 30% 1.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?No 38.3% 91.76 shares