No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $42.38K
- Potential payout
- $52.65K
- Potential profit
- $10.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $4.06K
Polymarket Trader
cezarn132
0x5f176a980de5b25f89f17473e5e8adef565c519e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $140.03K
- Realized PnL
- $181.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $32.57K
- Potential payout
- $36.59K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $10.12K
No position
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $12.67K
- Potential payout
- $12.71K
- Potential profit
- $31.76
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $12.5K
- Potential payout
- $12.62K
- Potential profit
- $119.86
- User PnL
- $996.72
No position
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $12.42K
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $81.27
- User PnL
- $921.72
No position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $8.65K
- Potential payout
- $8.72K
- Potential profit
- $78.51
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $8.03K
- Potential payout
- $8.1K
- Potential profit
- $68.84
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $3.96K
- Potential payout
- $4.26K
- Potential profit
- $298.43
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $764.86
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.53K
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $414.65
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $434.46
No position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.93K
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $354.77
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $634.06
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $307.66
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $11.65
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.7%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $3.46
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 2.88x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.43K
France position
Euro Basket: France vs Poland
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $19.69K
Yes position
Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.55K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.44K
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13K
No position
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6K
No position
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59K
Yes position
Will Chelsea beat PSG?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41K
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37K
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01K
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76K
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-06?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53K
Yes position
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
No position
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
No position
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-12-18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93K
No position
Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78K
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?No 97.4% 24,419.01 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?No 0.6% 4,071.28 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes 78% 1.28 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?No 97.3% 26,723.24 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 81.8% 61,133.49 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 97.6% 37,592.91 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 60.3% 29,372.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.9% 27,659.5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?No 73.7% 4,069.89 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?No 72% 1.39 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No 89% 1.12 shares