Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.9K
- Potential profit
- $43.9K
- User PnL
- -$43.9
Polymarket Trader
BigCaes
0x5f22e0ef06bc81e40dca9c133d041da11e2b6112
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $930.72
- Realized PnL
- -$1.22K
- Win rate
- 38.1%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $909.33
- Potential payout
- $13.99K
- Potential profit
- $13.08K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.28K
Yes position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $21.39
- Potential payout
- $777.88
- Potential profit
- $756.49
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$61.83
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276.08
- Potential profit
- $276.08
- User PnL
- -$24.85
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.03
- Potential profit
- $26.03
- User PnL
- -$9.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Knicks
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.54
Rakhmonov position
Rakhmonov vs. Garry
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.74
Gane position
Gane vs. Volkov
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.74
Pantoja position
Pantoja vs. Asakura
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.85
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.48
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.05
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.75
No position
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$32.65
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$161.23
Kopylov position
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.69
Yes position
Will Trump say "Piggy Bank" during tariff event on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$214.39
Yes position
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$288.66
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$337.45
UCLA Bruins position
Arizona Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$365.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 22,900 shares
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 77% 137.2 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 3.3% 1,260.54 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 72.4% 100 shares