0x5f2ed3556B8B8593c01A40a1f9081470D6A7E75e-1776797648678

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $185.63
Potential payout: $185.91
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $46.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.99
Potential profit: $92.99
User PnL: -$36.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $77.27
Potential payout: $77.31
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $13.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.77
Potential profit: $75.77
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.54
Potential profit: $56.54
User PnL: -$5.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.54
Potential profit: $56.54
User PnL: -$5.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.62
Potential profit: $54.62
User PnL: -$36.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.64
Potential profit: $42.64
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.64
Potential profit: $42.64
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.64
Potential profit: $42.64
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or higher on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.64
Potential profit: $42.64
User PnL: -$3.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $33.34
User PnL: -$1.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?