Polymarket Trader

PlasticFlesh

0x5f2fd10e5bbb30d1e97d5f03f87168724777756a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $950.05
Realized PnL: $770.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $37.2
Potential payout: $799.91
Potential profit: $762.71
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$12.4

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $35.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $264.75
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $125.48
Potential payout: $162.96
Potential profit: $37.48
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $5.48

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $120.3
Potential payout: $155.23
Potential profit: $34.93
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $20.48
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $129.53
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $118.3
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $21.7
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$107.4

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $99.46
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $8.06
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $88.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $17.5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $48.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $31.2
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $63.13
Potential payout: $74.71
Potential profit: $11.58
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $61.95
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $56.76
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$50.4

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $24.72
Potential payout: $41.54
Potential profit: $16.82
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$2.28

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $28.39
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.66

No position

Russian strike on Poland by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $21.35
Potential payout: $21.6
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.42
Potential profit: $21.42
User PnL: -$12.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $82.17

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.58

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.4

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.56

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.86

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.29

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.54

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.6

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.92

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $24.28

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.7

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.44

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.38

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.18

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.63

Yes position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.9

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 87% 17.24 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 85% 23.53 shares
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 78% 25.64 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 77% 25.97 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95.4% 80 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 65% 10.77 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 87% 57.47 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 65% 30.77 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 22.47 shares
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 93% 107.53 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 85% 58.82 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 68.49 shares