Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $20.25
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Polymarket Trader
sorryboy
0x5f3e452e9dc43837bd9ddf266fd55182f0a5906e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.4
- Realized PnL
- $21.19
- Win rate
- 85%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.8
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $9.19
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or higher on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "Defuse" be said 5+ times at the Rotterdam Grand Final?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 56% 5.36 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 73% 6.85 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Yes 91% 10 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 69.4% 5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 94% 9.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No 78% 4.89 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 73% 30 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 81% 9.85 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 89% 10 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 99.8% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or higher on April 18?No 97.9% 9.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 59.5% 15 shares