No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $20.33
- Potential payout
- $20.36
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.34
Polymarket Trader
0x5f42...9a8d
0x5f424fadc7eeebcd9b3ab00e649c684d7b0d9a8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $38.41
- Realized PnL
- $13.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $18.08
- Potential payout
- $18.11
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or below on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 1?No 99% 5.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?No 96% 5.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 1?No 98.9% 10.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?No 98.9% 12.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?No 98.5% 11.12 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 1?No 99% 9.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?No 98.9% 11.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 1?No 99% 10.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No 99% 11.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No 98.9% 10.11 shares
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.4% 18.11 shares