Polymarket Trader

LuckyLucas

0x5f45e39f117f4848b7d84d14ac5bb650eb55b568

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $68.8
Realized PnL: $1.19K
Win rate: 81%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$22.4

No position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$74

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$61.2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $18.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $381.2
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$73.2

Yes position

Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371
Potential profit: $371
User PnL: -$15.15

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$32

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.58
Potential profit: $173.58
User PnL: -$147.54

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$38

No position

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$6.34

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.14

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.93

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $108.46

No position

Fed rate hike in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.27

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.41

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.02

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

USDT depeg in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

No position

Will no one dissent September Fed decision?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

No position

XRP all time high by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

No position

Will XRP reach $3.10 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Tether insolvent in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 23% 400 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 8% 500 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8% 300 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 12% 369.27 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 25% 100 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 1.3% 800 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 86% 111.98 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

No 91% 433.99 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

No 91% 500 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

No 88% 534 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

No 88% 100 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 6.9% 86.13 shares