No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $65
Polymarket Trader
0x5f50790c7Fa29B7cD0F592A43fc1c26dB52324E9-1767157331904
0x5f50790c7fa29b7cd0f592a43fc1c26db52324e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.68K
- Realized PnL
- $1.05K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $915
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $115
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $188.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $311.25
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $242.06
- Potential payout
- $272.28
- Potential profit
- $30.22
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $202.3
- Potential payout
- $211.72
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $156.94
- Potential payout
- $159.57
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will Trump resign before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $65.29
- Potential payout
- $66.66
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $327.44
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $227.4
Canadiens position
Islanders vs. Canadiens
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.08
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.98
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.6
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.79
No position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.34
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.34
Yes position
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.48
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will Dante Moore be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$85.12
No position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$178.62
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$269.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 89.6% 272.28 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 96.8% 159.57 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 96% 211.72 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.5% 500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 80% 1,000 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 84% 1,000 shares
- Islanders vs. CanadiensCanadiens 56% 17.98 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 97.5% 420 shares
- Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No 17% 52 shares
- Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No 17% 267 shares
- Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No 37% 11.11 shares
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?Yes 91.6% 1,056.64 shares