Polymarket Trader

p4-weather

0x5f526efc2acae9bf84b308a63ae1a0390f45292d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $127
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 85.9%
Current value: $4.3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.26
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 14?

No 97.9% 1.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?

No 95.3% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 14?

No 97% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 14?

No 97% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 14?

No 95% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 14?

No 96% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 14?

No 97% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 14?

No 97.8% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 14?

No 95.8% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 14?

No 95% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 14?

No 97.5% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 14?

No 98.5% 5 shares