Polymarket Trader

Soothesayer

0x5f56748cd775ce39a8a69274117e2d1aab06d2ff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.36
Realized PnL: $41.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $20.72
Potential payout: $64.74
Potential profit: $44.02
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.74
Potential profit: $54.74
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.13
Potential profit: $34.13
User PnL: -$10

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.37
Potential profit: $16.37
User PnL: -$4.82

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $10.71
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $3.57
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $14.04
Potential profit: $6.11
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.81
Potential profit: $10.81
User PnL: -$4.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.18

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 57% 14.04 shares
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 63.2% 7.91 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23.7% 54.74 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 22% 18.18 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 12.99 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 29.3% 34.13 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 71% 14.08 shares
No one announced as next James Bond?

Yes 67% 20.9 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

No 51% 19.61 shares
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes 38.6% 64.74 shares
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 77% 12.99 shares