Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $82.36
- Potential payout
- $3.36K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $42.02
Polymarket Trader
0x5f59...e61d
0x5f5945ea1a0be6c3ca7c841769ef892be48ae61d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $466.24
- Realized PnL
- $5.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $314.13
- Potential profit
- $312.09
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $29.62
- Potential payout
- $71.38
- Potential profit
- $41.76
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $60.95
- Potential profit
- $51.23
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $51.97
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.3%
- Current value
- $17.44
- Potential payout
- $54.07
- Potential profit
- $36.63
- Multiplier
- 3.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $43.95
- Potential payout
- $45.38
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.52
No position
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $40.84
- Potential payout
- $43.29
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $34.62
- Potential payout
- $38.05
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $27.21
- Potential profit
- $24.14
- Multiplier
- 8.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $23.33
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.67
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $21.78
- Potential payout
- $22.38
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $8.64
- Potential payout
- $21.34
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $20.24
- Potential payout
- $20.9
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $17.49
- Potential payout
- $17.58
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $13.91
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $13.32
- Potential payout
- $13.81
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.7
- Potential payout
- $12.71
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.34
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $10.49
- Potential payout
- $10.62
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $10.22
- Potential payout
- $10.27
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $7.38
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $2.53
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $4.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.96
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes 99.2% 2.2 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes 98.9% 4.04 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes 98.4% 4.07 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Yes 96% 3.94 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes 97% 1.03 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes 96.4% 1.92 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Yes 92% 4.35 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Yes 24% 1.33 shares
- Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?No 24% 16.67 shares
- Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?Yes 91% 1.1 shares