Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $216.75
- Potential profit
- $212.63
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Polymarket Trader
Intemelio
0x5f63f5aa3cee28523d1c21f3f7a9968711c625b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.04
- Realized PnL
- $5.76
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $200.8
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$5.84
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $8.06
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Chirayu Rana divorced?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.52
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $13.65
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $25.35
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $32.41
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $21.07
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$7.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Chirayu Rana fired?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 88% 23.55 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 27% 37.04 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 5.7% 242.85 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 84.9% 23.56 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 96% 20.83 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No 91.8% 32.68 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 42% 23.81 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 87% 26.31 shares
- Chirayu Rana divorced?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Chirayu Rana fired?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 18% 55.56 shares