Polymarket Trader

Polariz

0x5f6e91f4feb64c631c306270b7d59e8cdf64827f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.13
Realized PnL: $158.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $27.13
Potential payout: $7.75K
Potential profit: $7.72K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$690.91

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$225.06

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $575.86
Potential profit: $575.86
User PnL: -$200

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$150

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 9.3% 7,606.26 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 8.7% 46.9 shares
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

No 30% 500 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

No 22.6% 840.84 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 34.7% 575.86 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 55.7% 358.87 shares
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 19.6% 1,019.1 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

No 10.9% 1,380.16 shares