Polymarket Trader

Sigridsd

@hillarina121

0x5f828f0cdacf227ce500b82656415b221a48b3bc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $109.23
Realized PnL: $170.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.76
Potential profit: $136.76
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $87.88
Potential payout: $87.88
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $14.03
Potential payout: $19.35
Potential profit: $5.32
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$3.97

paiN Academy position

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.32
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.15

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.43

Yes position

Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.45

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.03

Yes position

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.73

No position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

No position

Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Scotland win the 2026 Six Nations championship?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

paiN Academy 95.6% 7.32 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Yes 93% 19.35 shares
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?

Yes 94% 17.02 shares
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?

No 99% 87.88 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 75% 36.96 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Yes 93.6% 34.19 shares
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?

Yes 94% 23.4 shares
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 136.76 shares
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Yes 74% 29.73 shares
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

No 86.1% 25.1 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 15.25 shares
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 93% 39.09 shares