Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $20.97
- Potential payout
- $3.49K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $6.01
Polymarket Trader
master-roshi
0x5f8839f9b16c66d0c75f69d150e69a876e391d4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.65K
- Realized PnL
- $2.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$429.01
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $652.76
- Potential payout
- $659.02
- Potential profit
- $6.26
- User PnL
- $158.94
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $658.5
- Potential profit
- $656.86
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$171.03
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $385.7
- Potential payout
- $401.98
- Potential profit
- $16.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.4
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $382.69
- Potential payout
- $397.19
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $356.95
- Potential profit
- $356.95
- User PnL
- -$76.37
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.11
- Potential profit
- $322.11
- User PnL
- -$5.6
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $131.4
- Potential payout
- $302.07
- Potential profit
- $170.67
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$24.42
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $170.6
- Potential payout
- $302
- Potential profit
- $131.4
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $8.23
- Potential payout
- $269.86
- Potential profit
- $261.63
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $4.46
No position
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $206.77
- Potential payout
- $235.1
- Potential profit
- $28.33
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
No position
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $223.5
- Potential payout
- $227.49
- Potential profit
- $3.98
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $79.92
- Potential payout
- $213.97
- Potential profit
- $134.05
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- -$6.01
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $204
- Potential profit
- $158
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $11.57
- Potential payout
- $166.46
- Potential profit
- $154.89
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $78.12
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $45.88
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $40.44
No position
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $70.61
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $4.39
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $39.01
- Potential payout
- $57.36
- Potential profit
- $18.36
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $19.93
- Potential payout
- $53.87
- Potential profit
- $33.94
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $44.63
- Potential payout
- $51.01
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $45.65
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $29.33
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $21.68
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $576.44
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $208.51
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $202.06
No position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.55
No position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.24
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.41
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.11
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.18
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.03
No position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $63.11
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.61
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $49.37
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $46.21
No position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $36.62
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $29.2
No position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $29.04
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $28.98
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $28.09
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.88
No position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $22.08
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.8
No position
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $21.59
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $19.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 3.1% 21.86 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 3.2% 75.65 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.9% 259.87 shares
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Yes 25.5% 18.88 shares
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Yes 56% 50 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 3.6% 100 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 29.1% 32 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Yes 55.8% 66 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Yes 5% 13.73 shares
- Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes 47% 50 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?No 21% 372.62 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 85.6% 32 shares