Polymarket Trader

user.linux

0x5f8b1a4caaf404156968c2a968b519edc73239f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $147.23
Realized PnL: $63.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $759.62
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $15.38
Potential payout: $304.55
Potential profit: $289.17
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $68.85
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $231.15
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $20.55

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $17.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $282.75
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$19.95

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $8.13
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $71.23
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $76.23
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $8.14
Potential payout: $72.99
Potential profit: $64.85
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.3
Potential profit: $64.3
User PnL: -$58.4

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $10.28
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $3.61
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.48
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.78
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.03

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.07
Potential profit: $4.07
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.98

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $1.16
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

XLG Gaming position

Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $1.61

No position

Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.51

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 74% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?

Yes 32% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?

Yes 12% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Down 93% 1.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Down 83% 1.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 76% 1.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 70.3% 1.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Down 62% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Down 55% 1.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Down 56% 1.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Up 61% 1.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Up 52% 1.92 shares