Polymarket Trader

Bonnie.Blue

0x5f8fe08245151828dc063df19ccbb3c9100d40cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $298.14K
Realized PnL: $296.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $60.6K
Potential payout: $296.47K
Potential profit: $235.87K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$87.64K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.47K
Potential profit: $296.47K
User PnL: -$98.82K

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.47K
Potential profit: $296.47K
User PnL: -$98.82K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $235.84K
Potential payout: $296.47K
Potential profit: $60.63K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $87.61K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $44.12K
Potential profit: $42.42K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $404.09

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.23K
Potential profit: $22.23K
User PnL: -$717.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102K

No position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.41K

No position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34K

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.39K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47K

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56K

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $2.44K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 28,862.64 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 2,705.26 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.9% 17.3 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 6,837.52 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 5,037.78 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 4,557.36 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 6,560.26 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.3% 258.94 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.6% 5,824.18 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97% 28,858.21 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 203,910.46 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.7% 5,555 shares