No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $40.82
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $11.18
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $13.77
Polymarket Trader
0x5f9e...6129
0x5f9e2cdfd73c59f9d9225356dbe6972512046129
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $105.84
- Realized PnL
- -$1.34
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $8.39
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $30.62
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$11.12
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.72
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.4%
- Current value
- $7.74
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $6.88
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $6.64
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 85% 8 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 65% 7 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 81.2% 16 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 79% 8 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 87.1% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.3% 10 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 30% 15 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 12 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 8.3% 22 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 91.7% 9 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No 74% 10 shares