Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $24.09
- Potential payout
- $27.85
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.2
Polymarket Trader
0x5fa9...14c5
0x5fa93f5838041da2dfd7e0949a491d474c8714c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $53.71
- Realized PnL
- -$38.31
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $18.8
- Potential payout
- $19.68
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $10.82
- Potential payout
- $11.57
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.9
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 75% 27.85 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 11.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 38% 52.37 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 79% 25.19 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No 91% 19.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 87% 11.44 shares