Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $72.51
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$10.11
Polymarket Trader
Norans
@jjcarpet711
0x5fb78176e621ad1877beea922cbf0a05b90ea908
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.58K
- Realized PnL
- $93.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $24.56
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.6
- Potential profit
- $26.6
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.25
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $20.3
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.56
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.18
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Jamieson Greer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 96.2% 1,629.39 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.4% 1,437.5 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 84.4% 99.43 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.6% 1,437.5 shares
- Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.1% 1,466.73 shares
- Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 1,466.73 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 91% 24.18 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.3% 1,521.12 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 81% 34.57 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.4% 1,521.13 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 97.4% 24.64 shares