Polymarket Trader

palochka

@palqa_

0x5fc6fe2721bef3cdd69466f343f301c842a99561

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.13
Realized PnL: $217.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $59.76
Potential profit: $55.73
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $26.4
Potential profit: $17.75
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $3.65

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $20.17
Potential profit: $17.86
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $16.48
Potential payout: $18.41
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.48

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.82
Potential profit: $9.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.46
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $3.72
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $1.53

Under position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.78
Potential profit: $5.78
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.8%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 2.29x
User PnL: $0.18

Under position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

No position

France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $2.74
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$2

Over position

Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.22

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.88

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.75

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.47

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $9.03

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

No position

Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.96

No position

Will MrBeast hit 477 Million subscribers by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.67

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $7.03

No position

Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

No position

Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.65

No position

Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 37% 2.7 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Yes 95% 5 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 14.8% 6.75 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 1.9% 10.58 shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

No 65% 15.38 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 14.9% 13.42 shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

No 66% 3.03 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Under 56% 1.79 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Over 67% 2.6 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 18.9% 10.58 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?

No 76% 2.6 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

France 53% 1.85 shares