Polymarket Trader

alxxndra

0x5fcab4a73836d5464ff69af297b6e787749f5f37

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.66
Realized PnL: $47.5
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $81.22
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $2.81
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $31.67
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $11.16
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.17
Potential profit: $10.17
User PnL: -$8.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Up position

BNB Up or Down - July 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.63
Potential profit: $4.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.15
Potential profit: $4.15
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.31
Potential profit: $3.31
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 34.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 7.2% 13.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 97.7% 8.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 14% 8.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 14.3% 8.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 13% 4.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 86.4% 4.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 87.4% 1.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 62.6% 3.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 61.1% 3.35 shares
BNB Up or Down - July 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 21% 4.76 shares